About this blog ...

Intermittent commentary on the state of the international political economy with a focus on the question of sustainable development.

Quote of the day

Anyone who believes exponential growth can go on forever in a finite world is either a madman or an economist.
- Kenneth Boulding, The Growth Illusion

Links

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Stewart Kelly
David Morgan
Gary Sauer-Thompson
John Quiggin
Scott Wickstein
Jemma Williams
Bright Cold Day
Earth-info net
Free Pie
blogger.com
Guardian unlimited
Diary of Samuel Pepys

Archives

Monday, June 30, 2003

In transit

My blogging is likely to be even more spasmodic than usual over the next few weeks on account of my relocation to Singapore (via France). Furthermore, typing on a French keyboard is unlikely to enhance my productivity any! The big news here in France right now is the restructuring of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) which some are touting as 'the most fundamental shift in farm policy in five decades'. For an overview, consult EU agrees radical farm reform at the BBC news web site which suggests (article title notwithstanding) that far from being a radical step, the agreement is a bit of a botch job unlikely to make any serious headway in redressing the imbalances which serve to impoverish farmers in the less developed world.

Thursday, June 19, 2003

A snowflake's chance on an increasingly warm planet

Recent research suggests that global warning is likely to occur faster than first thought. Given the trend in US foreign policy ("You're either with us or you're with the terrorists") and the very explicit way in which members of the 'coalition of the unwilling' are being treated (e.g. Chile, Canada, France), the new 'friendship' between the US and Australia will be increasingly difficult to break, especially with AUSFTA to bind the relationship. What chance then of John Howard signing the Kyoto Protocol so long as the US doesn't?

Saturday, June 14, 2003

The burgeoning green market

One gets the feeling that real change is just around the corner when such bastions of advanced capitalism as Fortune magazine start publishing stuff on the commercial benefits of being green. The Next big thing (and related articles) is well worth a read.

Saturday, June 07, 2003

Will they get away with it?


Following hot on the heels of Paul Krugman's June 3 piece in the New York Times, I was heartened to hear, on ABC radio this morning, US Congressmen seriously questioning the integrity of US intelligence reports on Iraq's WMD. Could the ground be shifting within the US domestic political economy? The Krugman article (entitled Standard operating procedure) did surprise me, I have to say, to the extent that I now think I may have been a little harsh in judgement of him in the past! He certainly didn't pull any punches in his denunciation of the Bush administration and 'the mystery of Iraq's missing weapons of mass destruction'. Anyone who talks about an "intelligence failure", he says is 'missing the point'. The Bush and Blair administrations wanted a war, 'so they demanded reports supporting their case, while dismissing contrary evidence'. According to Krugman, for the Bush administration 'misrepresentation and deception are standard operating procedure' and that 'to an extent never before seen in US history' it 'systematically and brazenly distorts the facts'. The important point, he notes, is that the public was told that 'Saddam posed an imminent threat. If that claim was fraudulent, the selling of the war is arguably the worst scandal in American political history — worse than Watergate, worse than Iran-contra.' Stirring stuff, indeed, which gives me some cause for optimism that the Bush administration may be called to account by domestic interests. While world opinion would appear largely unsupportive of the US intervention in Iraq, it is opinion within the US, of course, that really matters. As Krugman concludes (rather dismally), if the Bush administration did con the US public into war, and it is not held accountable for its deceptions, it is possible that George W. could fight a "khaki election" campaign next year, in which case, the US political system would have become 'utterly, and perhaps irrevocably, corrupted'.

Monday, June 02, 2003

Economists must learn to subtract

As a subscriber to the ecol-econ news group through IPEnet I was fortunate enough to be tipped off about the following article in this month's Adbusters magazine (thanks to Jonas Broth). After two decades of campaigning against the neoclassical claptrap we serve up to students of economics, I find this very heartening:

In June 2000, a group of French students arched their backs in the classic "J'accuse" posture and threw a lightning bolt across the body of economic academia: they denounced contemporary economics as "autistic."

A word or two on Autism. Victims of the disease are seen as living in their own world, often unaware of the people and events that surround them. They develop language patterns that make sense to no one except themselves, are intolerant of change and tend to repeat the same behaviors over and over, regardless of whether or not those behaviors are appropriate. The demand for "post-autistic economics" - namely a demand for diverse approaches to issues including unemployment, inequality and globalization - soon took on a life of its own. Within a year, a commission led by the respected economist Jean-Paul Fitoussi issued findings supporting the French students. The movement also crossed the English Channel, where Cambridge University, having made its mark on the discipline of mainstream economics, became the launchpad for more than two dozen PhD students who set out to do their own assessment of their field of study. The Cambridge 27 ultimately declared economics to be "monopolized by a single approach," and identified the dangers of teaching students the "tools" of a mainstream economics that is detached from reality. The British students' findings differed only in timbre from the French demand for "escape from imaginary worlds," and echoed challenges for a multifarious approach, an appreciation of the real-life context of economics and liberation from the absolute dominion of mathematical models. "Economics fails to study real-world, open, dynamic, interconnected systems," says Dr. Tony Lawson, whose book Economics and Reality is a pillar of the post-autistic movement. He draws attention to his colleagues' reliance on models that in no way resemble economic life as it is actually lived. How can an entire discipline refuse to move beyond theories in which humans are assumed to live forever, have entirely rational expectations and behave selfishly at all times? Lawson places the blame on "an ill-informed, uncritical awe of mathematics," and a system that feeds on itself. Funding and recognition are funneled to economists who admire the emperor's proverbial new clothes. More iconoclastic "heterodox" thinkers increasingly find that their only avenue for investigating and publishing their research into economic reality is to work with other, only peripherally related academic departments or journals. Professor Fred Lee, of the University of Missouri-Kansas City, is more forward in his critique. "Neo-classical economists act as religious fundamentalists in that they will attack any heterodox economist and try to drive him or her out of the profession." Critics of autistic economics agree on a number of key concerns. The first is that mathematical models are given a near monopoly in study and research at the expense of alternative historical models and methodology. Second, orthodox economists, supported to some extent by forces opposing social change, promote the careers and works of like-minded peers who view current conditions in the chosen shades of gray. Finally, and in the most general sense, economics has detached itself from every other related field of study. Differences among the critics include whether the current problems reflect mere self-preservation among conservative economists or a trickle-down of marching orders from controlling interests. They also divide over whether the current approach to economics needs only to be expanded or, as Lee states, "What needs to he done is to develop a new economic theory that clearly rejects neo-classical theory and its properties." In either event, the critics agree that clues to the antidote lie somewhere within the morass of economics abandoned by the mainstream. The selection ranges from Marxism and post-Keynesian theory to feminist and social schools of thought. Signs abound that the stranglehold of neo-classical economics, in its contemporary perversion, is finally being loosened. As student enrollment in economics generally declines, courses dealing with real-world issues are becoming ever more popular. "Economic theory has not delivered the goods," concedes Princeton economist Ariel Rubinstein. And the link between economic theory and the practical problems of life in the real world? "Tenuous at best."